P2P CCS Playoff Projections
Wilcox is projected as a No. 1 seed in the Open Division 1 field. (Hanson Ma/Prep2Prep)

Prep2Prep CCS Playoff Projections

UPDATED 11/3/2018

This is our final Central Coast Section playoff projection ahead of the seeding meeting on Sunday November 4.

The Open Division went pretty much according to plan with regard to the composition of the final field. Of course, there were some surprises along the way, as Archbishop Mitty, unranked in the latest Prep2Prep Top 25, knocked off No. 16 Sacred Heart Cathedral to claim the fourth and final automatic bid from the WCAL. Both teams were locks regardless.

Also from the WCAL, St. Ignatius defeated Bellarmine to knock the Bells out of playoff contention and seize the final Open at-large berth. And the wild PCAL-Gabilan Division wound up with a pair of one-loss teams as Palma and Salinas defeated San Benito and Aptos, respectively, to break the four-way logjam. While that had a bearing on the point totals of the four automatic qualifiers, it did not affect their playoff status.

In Divisions 4/5, Soledad upset Alisal to claim one of the final available automatic bids in the field as the third-place team from the PCAL-Mission. Mt. Pleasant beat Andrew Hill to snatch the automatic bid from the BVAL-West Valley and Mountain View hammered Monta Vista to earn the final at-large bid in the field. King City had a shot at an at-large spot, but lost 19-6 at San Lorenzo Valley to close out the season. Likewise, Jefferson had a theoretical shot but was routed 55-19 by The King's Academy.

Note: Lincoln would have earned a spot in the field, but the Lions do not participate in CCS playoffs because of their commitment to the annual Big Bone Game against San Jose on Thanksgiving Day.

For the formula used to calculate CCS points, please click here (PDF).

OPEN DIVISION 1

Wilcox locked up a spot in Division 1 with St. Ignatius' win over Bellarmine. As has been well documented, Division 2 figures to be tougher top to bottom because of the presence of four WCAL teams, including top-ranked St. Francis.

If our projections stand, there will be two first-round matchups of league rivals. San Benito defeated Salinas 35-28 during the regular season, while Palo Alto got the better of Milpitas, 41-13.

Wilcox (1,969) is the lowest enrollment school in Division 1.


Palo Alto is projected as the No. 2 seed in Division 1, hosting league rival Milpitas. (Karen Hickey/Special to Prep2Prep)

(1) WILCOX (32.33)

#1 vs. #8 Winner

Semifinals

Open Div. 1 Champ

(8) Piedmont Hills (19)

(4) SALINAS (25.75)

#4 vs. #5 Winner

(5) San Benito (24)

(3) MENLO-ATHERTON (28)

#3 vs. #6 Winner

Semifinals

(6) Los Gatos (22.33)

(2) PALO ALTO (30)

#2 vs. #7 Winner

(7) Milpitas (22)



OPEN DIVISION 2

No major surprises in Division 2, though Mitty moved up with its win over Sacred Heart Cathedral.

The first round is projected to feature a pair of BVAL-WCAL matchups and the WCAL teams will be considered the favorites in both. Serra could wind up facing St. Francis for the second time in three weeks if it gets past Leland and St. Francis takes care of business against Aragon. Valley Christian and St. Francis appear to be on a collision course for the Division 2 title.

Leland (1,926) is the highest enrollment school in Division 2.


Serra is projected as the No. 5 seed in Open Division 2. (@PadreAthletics/Instagram)

(1) ST. FRANCIS (31.5)

#1 vs. #8 Winner

Semifinals

Div. 2 Champ

(8) Aragon (15)

(4) LELAND (22.5)

#4 vs. #5 Winner

(5) Serra (22)

(3) OAK GROVE (23.5)

#3 vs. #6 Winner

Semifinals

(6) Archbishop Mitty (21.5)

(2) VALLEY CHRISTIAN (27.83)

#2 vs. #7 Winner

(7) Christopher (20)



OPEN DIVISION 3

Aptos may get a chance to avenge one of its two losses with a win and a victory by Palma over St. Ignatius. The draw was not kind to the top-seeded Chieftains, who will be facing the formidable Wildcats, who come into the playoffs after posting back-to-back shutouts against Archbishop Riordan and Bellarmine.

Pioneer (1,619) is the highest enrollment school in Division 3.


Sacred Heart Prep is projected as a No. 2 seed in Division 3. (@SHPathletics/Twitter)

(1) PALMA (30.25)

#1 vs. #8 Winner

Semifinals

Div. 3 Champ

(8) St. Ignatius (17.5)

(4) APTOS (26)

#4 vs. #5 Winner

(5) Terra Nova (25.5)

(3) LIVE OAK (27)

#3 vs. #6 Winner

Semifinals

(6) Sacred Heart Cathedral (21)

(2) SACRED HEART PREP (28.33)

#2 vs. #7 Winner

(7) Pioneer (18)



DIVISION 4

Willow Glen went from the bubble to a potential first-round home game with a strong finish, winning five of its final six games. The Rams are shooting for a rematch with BVAL-Santa Teresa champ Independence, which will be heavily favored against upstart Soledad, which finished 3-7 overall.

Overfelt and Santa Clara are projected for a rematch in the first round. Overfelt won the regular-season matchup 30-0.

Burlingame (1,423) is the smallest school in Division 4.


Santa Clara is projected as the No. 6 seed in Division 4. (Prep2Prep Staff)

(1) INDEPENDENCE (27)

#1 vs. #8 Winner

Semifinals

Div. 4 Champ

(8) Soledad (14.5)

(4) WILLOW GLEN (21.5)

#4 vs. #5 Winner

(5) Carlmont (21.33)

(3) OVERFELT (23.33)

#3 vs. #6 Winner

Semifinals

(6) Santa Clara (19.82)

(2) BURLINGAME (25)

#2 vs. #7 Winner

(7) Mountain View (18.82)



DIVISION 5

Mt. Pleasant earned a shot at top-seeded and undefeated Carmel by knocking off Andrew Hill for the BVAL-West Valley title. There are two undefeated teams in the upper half of the draw, but PCAL-Santa Lucia champ Gonzales figures to be in a tough matchup against SCVAL-El Camino tri-champ Saratoga.

Saratoga (1,354) is the largest school in Division 5.


Carmel projects as the No. 1 seed in Division 5. (@PadreSports/Twitter)


(1) CARMEL (28)

#1 vs. #8 Winner

Semifinals

Div. 5 Champ

(8) Mt. Pleasant (15)

(4) GONZALES (23.5)

#4 vs. #5 Winner

(5) Saratoga (19.82)

(3) THE KING'S ACADEMY (24)

#3 vs. #6 Winner

Semifinals

(6) Del Mar (19.5)

(2) MONTEREY (26.5)

#2 vs. #7 Winner

(7) Monte Vista Christian (17)



Here's a brief look at the at-large teams that made it based on our CCS point calculations and the first five in each classification that would be left out based on our projection process:







BVAL-MH Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
6-1-0
7-2-0
5-2-0
8-2-0
5-2-0
6-4-0
5-2-0
6-4-0
4-3-0
4-6-0
2-5-0
2-8-0
1-6-0
4-7-0
0-7-0
1-9-0
BVAL-ST Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
7-0-0
10-0-0
5-2-0
8-2-0
5-2-0
7-3-0
3-4-0
6-4-0
3-4-0
5-5-0
2-5-0
5-5-0
2-5-0
4-6-0
1-6-0
3-7-0
BVAL-WV Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
6-1-0
6-5-0
5-2-0
6-4-0
5-2-0
5-5-0
4-3-0
6-4-0
2-5-0
2-8-0
1-6-0
2-8-0
1-6-0
1-9-0
PAL-Bay Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
5-0-0
8-2-0
3-2-0
8-2-0
2-3-0
2-8-0
1-4-0
4-6-0
0-5-0
3-7-0
PAL-Ocean Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
5-0-0
8-2-0
2-3-0
3-7-0
2-3-0
3-7-0
2-3-0
3-7-0
SCVAL-DA Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
6-0-0
10-0-0
5-1-0
9-1-0
4-2-0
6-4-0
3-3-0
6-4-0
1-5-0
4-6-0
1-5-0
2-8-0
1-5-0
1-9-0
SCVAL-EC Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
5-1-0
6-4-0
5-1-0
6-4-0
5-1-0
6-5-0
2-4-0
5-5-0
2-4-0
4-6-0
2-4-0
3-7-0
0-6-0
0-10-0
WCAL Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
7-0-0
9-1-0
5-2-0
6-4-0
3-4-0
5-5-0
3-4-0
3-7-0
1-6-0
2-8-0
0-7-0
1-9-0
PAL-Lake Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
5-0-0
8-2-0
3-2-0
6-4-0
3-2-0
6-4-0
2-3-0
4-6-0
1-4-0
4-6-0
1-4-0
3-6-0
PCAL-Cypress Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
6-0-0
11-1-0
4-2-0
5-5-0
2-4-0
4-6-0
1-5-0
4-6-0
1-5-0
2-8-0
PCAL-Santa Lucia Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
6-0-0
11-0-0
5-1-0
8-2-0
4-2-0
4-5-0
3-3-0
3-7-0
2-4-0
4-6-0
1-5-0
3-7-0
0-6-0
0-10-0
PCAL-Gabilan Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
6-1-0
10-1-0
6-1-0
8-3-0
5-2-0
8-2-0
5-2-0
6-5-0
3-4-0
5-5-0
2-5-0
2-8-0
1-6-0
1-10-0
0-7-0
1-9-0
PCAL-Mission Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
6-0-0
11-0-0
3-3-0
5-5-0
3-3-0
3-7-0
2-4-0
5-5-0
1-5-0
4-6-0
1-5-0
4-6-0