P2P Softball CCS Playoff Projections
Silver Creek projects as the No. 3 seed in Division I. (Tyler Khan/Prep2Prep)

Prep2Prep CCS Softball Playoff Projections

UPDATED 4/28/17


Based on the latest information presented to Prep2Prep through games of April 27, we are releasing our projections for the 2017 Central Coast Section playoff tournaments. We have done our best to accurately portray the schedules and results of the 100+ teams that compete in the Central Coast Section, but it is possible that there are slight schedule variations for some teams.

The Central Coast Section has introduced an Open Division for softball beginning this year. The format is very similar to the setup for the CCS soccer playoffs, with eight teams chosen for the Open Division and the remaining 32 playoff qualifiers split into Division I and Division II based on enrollment.

The 5 "A" league champions plus the next three highest point-total getters will comprise an eight-team elite playoff field. The other 32 teams in the playoff field will be split according to enrollment with the top 16 in Division I and the rest of the teams in Division II.

Nothing has changed with regard to the automatic qualifiers, of which there are 28 spread out over the leagues as follows: BVAL (6), PAL (4), SCVAL (4), MBL (4), MTAL (3), WBAL (3), WCAL (2) and SCCAL (2).

The remaining 12 at-large teams are selected based on a point system that awards teams based on results over the entire season, including non-league play. To be considered for an at-large berth, teams must have at least a .500 record in either league play or overall. An average number of points per game is calculated based on the number of total games played, or 17 if a team played fewer than 17 games.

Leagues within CCS are designated as "A" (highest), "B" and "C". Wins against "A" teams count for 3 points; wins against "B" teams count for 2.5; and wins against "C" teams count for 2. Strip off one point from those totals in cases of ties, and two points for losses to respectively designed "A", "B" and "C" teams. Teams outside of CCS are considered "B" teams.

Finally, teams are awarded 2 points for playing an "A" league champion, 1.5 points for playing a "B" league champion and 1 point for playing a "C" league champion. Teams also receive 5 points for being an "A" league champion, 4 for being a "B" league champion and 3 for being a "C" league champion.

We have done our best to accurately portray the schedules and results of the 100+ teams that compete in the Central Coast Section, but it is possible that there are slight schedule variations for some teams. These projections are based on our best available information; if you would like to correct a team's result, please contact Prep2Prep via email or tweet us @Prep2PrepSports. You can also leave comments on our Facebook page.

For more details on the CCS point system, please click here.

Because the season is not quite over, we must make a few assumptions:

ASSUMPTION 1: points are calculated on the assumption that an individual team will lose the rest of its games. The bonus points for playing a league champion are included in the calculation. In other words, the point total you see represents the minimum point total for a given team, based on the total number of games the team will play for the entire season.

ASSUMPTION 2: in calculating points awarded for playing league champions, points were split according to the number of teams currently tied for first place. For instance, per CCS rules, teams are awarded one point for playing a league champion; if a team played a team that is currently in a three-way tie for first, we credit the team 0.33 points. If two teams at the top of a league have not played the same number of games, we assume league champ based on points per game.

ASSUMPTION 3: in the first round, league mates are not matched up whenever possible as per CCS rules.

ASSUMPTION 4: teams will apply for CCS and we will use league bylaws to determine order of finish as applicable. For instance if two at-large teams apply for CCS from the same league, some league's bylaws mandate that the team that finished higher in the league standings must get in first whereas other leagues rank at-large teams based on CCS points. We are assuming no teams will pull out of consideration. If we cannot determine a league's bylaws, we will assume they rank by order of CCS points.

ASSUMPTION 5: some leagues hold a postseason tournament to fill out their allotment of automatic qualifiers. In those instances, we assumed the team(s) with the highest CCS point totals will receive the automatic bid.

NOTE: CCS points are in parentheses and the projected home team is listed in CAPS.



OPEN DIVISION: The outright "A" league leaders are: Santa Teresa (BVAL-Mount Hamilton), San Benito (MBL-Gabilan), Carlmont (PAL-Bay) and Mountain View (SCVAL-De Anza). We have St. Francis over Mitty on a head-to-head tiebreaker in the WCAL.

The at-large berths currently belong to Archbishop Mitty (2.80), Notre Dame-Salinas (2.50), and Presentation (2.46), which has a comfortable lead over Salinas (2.33), Watsonville (2.32) and Half Moon Bay (2.31) for the final spot according to our calculations.


St. Francis is a virtual lock for a CCS Open Division berth. (Hanson Ma/Prep2Prep)

(1) CARLMONT (2.89)

#1 vs. #8 Winner

Semifinals

Open Div. Champ

(8) Mountain View (2.18)

(4) ST. FRANCIS (2.63)

#4 vs. #5 Winner

(5) Notre Dame-Salinas (2.50)

(3) SAN BENITO (2.78)

#3 vs. #6 Winner

Semifinals

(6) Presentation (2.46)

(2) ARCHBISHOP MITTY (2.80)

#2 vs. #7 Winner

(7) Santa Teresa (2.39)




DIVISION I: After the eight top teams are placed in the Open, the 16 teams with the highest enrollment are placed in Division I with the remaining 16 teams placed in Division II.

Lowest enrollment schools: Sobrato (1,484) and St. Ignatius (1,482).


Homestead would host St. Ignatius in a Division I first-round matchup. (Hanson Ma/Prep2Prep)

(1) SALINAS (2.32)          
           
(16) Lincoln (1.62)          
           
(8) VALLEY CHRISTIAN (2.04)          
           
(9) Santa Clara (1.98)          
           
(5) CHRISTOPHER (2.15)          
           
(12) Sobrato (1.81)          
           
(4) LOS GATOS (2.16)          
           
(13) Milpitas (1.76)          
           
(6) HOMESTEAD (2.06)          
           
(11) St. Ignatius (1.91)          
           
(3) SILVER CREEK (2.23)          
           
(14) Leland (1.74)          
           
(7) PIONEER (2.05)          
           
(10) Branham (1.98)          
           
(2) WATSONVILLE (2.32)          
           
(15) Monta Vista (1.73)          



DIVISION II: Finally, the remaining 16 teams as ranked by enrollment are placed in Division II.

Highest enrollment schools: Soledad (1,464) and Hillsdale (1,427).


Menlo is projected as the No. 2 seed in Division II. (Menlo Athletics)

(1) HALF MOON BAY (2.31)          
           
(16) Harker (1.07)          
           
(8) SARATOGA (1.85)          
           
(9) Santa Catalina (1.71)          
           
(5) CAPUCHINO (1.94)          
           
(12) Gunderson (1.50)          
           
(4) NOTRE DAME-BELMONT (2.16)          
           
(13) South San Francisco (1.47)          
           
(6) LIVE OAK (1.94)          
           
(11) Soledad (1.67)          
           
(3) CARMEL (2.20)          
           
(14) Scotts Valley (1.43)          
           
(7) SAN LORENZO VALLEY (1.94)          
           
(10) Marina (1.69)          
           
(2) HILLSDALE (2.22)          
           
(15) The King's Academy (1.38)          



As mentioned earlier, there are a total of 12 at-large teams included in the complete field of 40 CCS playoff teams. Here's a brief look at the those 12 at-large teams that made it based on our CCS point calculations and the first five that would be left out if the season ended now.






BVAL-MH Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
9-1-0
16-6-0
6-3-0
12-5-0
6-3-0
11-9-0
6-3-0
9-8-0
5-4-0
9-10-0
4-6-0
13-10-0
1-9-0
6-14-0
1-9-0
3-20-0
BVAL-ST Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
9-1-0
15-3-0
8-2-0
13-7-0
7-3-0
17-6-0
4-6-0
7-12-0
4-6-0
7-14-2
4-6-0
7-15-0
3-6-0
7-14-0
0-9-0
0-15-0
BVAL-WV Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
15-2-0
15-2-0
12-3-0
12-3-0
6-2-0
6-2-0
8-6-0
8-6-0
5-8-0
5-8-0
6-11-0
7-15-0
1-10-0
1-10-0
0-11-0
0-12-0
MBL-Gabilan Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
8-0-0
19-4-0
7-2-0
19-2-0
5-3-0
20-4-0
5-3-0
16-7-0
3-6-0
9-14-0
1-8-0
10-11-0
1-8-0
9-13-0
MBL-Pacific Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
7-1-0
18-6-0
4-3-0
10-9-0
2-3-0
5-7-0
2-4-0
3-9-0
0-5-0
2-12-0
MTAL-MT Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
9-0-0
16-7-0
8-1-0
15-6-0
6-3-0
15-7-0
5-3-0
11-7-0
3-6-0
5-8-0
3-6-0
3-10-0
2-8-0
5-12-0
0-9-0
0-13-0
PAL-Bay Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
10-0-0
22-1-0
9-1-0
19-2-0
5-5-0
14-8-0
4-6-0
8-11-0
4-6-0
7-11-0
3-7-0
11-11-0
3-7-0
6-11-0
2-8-0
7-15-0
PAL-Ocean Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
7-1-0
10-7-0
4-3-0
5-12-0
5-4-0
6-9-0
1-4-0
2-8-0
1-5-0
3-7-0
0-7-0
0-7-0
SCCAL Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
7-1-0
8-10-2
3-2-0
4-11-0
3-4-0
6-13-0
2-5-0
5-13-0
0-4-0
0-4-0
0-6-0
5-14-0
SCVAL-DA Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
7-1-0
10-10-0
7-2-0
17-6-0
6-3-0
13-7-0
4-4-0
13-10-0
3-5-0
10-9-0
2-7-0
8-14-0
1-8-0
4-18-0
WCAL Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
7-1-0
16-5-0
7-1-0
19-6-0
5-3-0
18-6-0
3-5-0
13-9-0
2-6-0
11-9-0