Prep2Prep CCS Playoff Projections
Mountain View and San Benito are locks for the CCS playoffs. (@MVHS_GSoccer/Twitter)

Prep2Prep CCS Girls Soccer Playoff Projections

UPDATED 2/14/2019


We present the Central Coast Section Girls Soccer Playoff Projections based on the latest information available to Prep2Prep through the matches of February 13, the final day of the regular season. We have done our best to accurately portray the schedules and results of the 100+ teams that compete in the Central Coast Section.

These projections are based on our best available information; if you would like to correct a team's result, please do so directly on that team's Prep2Prep page, contact Prep2Prep via our Contact Us page or tweet us @Prep2PrepSports. You can also leave comments on our Facebook page.

CCS has implemented an Open Division for girls soccer. The 4 "A" league champions plus the next four highest point-total getters will comprise an eight-team elite playoff field. The only "B" teams eligible are those in standalone leagues, but they are required to opt up prior to the seeding meeting. The other 32 teams in the playoff field will be split according to their CCS point totals with the top 8 in Division 1, the next 8 in Division 2, the next 8 in Division 3 and the final 8 in Division 4.

For the formula used to calculate CCS points, please click here. Keep in mind that only a team's final 18 games count toward CCS point-total calculations. Also, a team must have at least a .500 record in league or overall to be considered.

In the first round, teams from the same league cannot face each other, so seedings are adjusted to avoid such matchups. Also first- and second-place teams from the same league cannot be placed in the same side of the bracket so we avoid those situations as well.

First, a few assumptions:

ASSUMPTION 1: points are calculated on the assumption that an individual team will lose the rest of its games. The bonus points for playing a league champion are included in the calculation. In other words, the point total you see represents the minimum point total for a given team as of today. We determine league champions based on points per game, which is especially relevant in cases where the teams have not played the same number of games.

ASSUMPTION 2: in calculating points awarded for playing league champions, points were split according to the number of teams currently tied for first place. For instance, per CCS rules, teams are awarded bonus points for playing a league champion; if a team played a team that is currently in a three-way tie for first, we credit the team one-third of the points. If two teams at the top of a league have not played the same number of games, we assume league champ based on points per game.

ASSUMPTION 3: for out-of-section teams that we were unable to find accurate records, we assumed them to be "B" teams and not division champs.

ASSUMPTION 4: teams will apply for CCS and we will use league bylaws to determine order of finish as applicable. For instance if two at-large teams apply for CCS from the same league, some league's bylaws mandate that the team that finished higher in the league standings must get in first whereas other leagues rank at-large teams based on CCS points. We are assuming no teams will pull out of consideration.

ASSUMPTION 5: the PCAL holds a playoff to determine the final automatic bid pitting the second-place team in the Cypress against the champion of the Santa Lucia Division. For now we will choose the team that is rated higher in the Prep2Prep computer rankings.

NOTE: CCS points are in parentheses and the projected home team is listed in CAPS.

OPEN DIVISION: All of the four "A" league champs have been decided: Leland (BVAL-Mt. Hamilton), Menlo-Atherton (PAL-Bay), St. Ignatius (WCAL) and Mountain View, which clinched the SCVAL-De Anza with a win against Santa Clara.

The four champs are joined by at-large teams Los Gatos (60 CCS points), Archbishop Mitty (58), Saint Francis (55.5) and Live Oak (50.5) in the Open field.

Note: Soquel and Christopher have informed Prep2Prep of their decision to not opt up.

We droppped Saint Ignatius and Saint Francis down a spot to avoid a first-round match against league mate Mitty.


Ariel Mbumba and Prospect are currently the No. 5 seed in the Open Division. (Ryan McCarthy/Prep2Prep)

MOUNTAIN VIEW (66.5)

#1 vs. #8 Winner

Semifinals

Open Div. Champ

Live Oak (50.5)

ARCHBISHOP MITTY (58)

#4 vs. #5 Winner

Menlo-Atherton (52.5)

LELAND (59.5)

#3 vs. #6 Winner

Semifinals

St. Ignatius (57.5)

LOS GATOS (60)

#2 vs. #7 Winner

St. Francis (55.5)



DIVISION 1: After the eight top teams are placed in the Open, the 8 teams with the next highest point totals are placed in Division 1.

We dropped Aptos a spot to avoid a first-round match with league rival Soquel.


Jack Cassell-McClellan and Branham are currently the No. 7 seed in Division 1. (Ryan McCarthy/Prep2Prep)

CHRISTOPHER (55.5)

#1 vs. #8 Winner

Semifinals

Div. 1 Champ

Leigh (46.5)

BURLINGAME (50)

#4 vs. #5 Winner

Menlo School (49.5)

SOQUEL (51)

#3 vs. #6 Winner

Semifinals

San Benito (47)

WESTMONT (52)

#2 vs. #7 Winner

Aptos (48)



DIVISION 2: The next 8 teams as ranked by CCS point total are placed in Division 2.


St. Francis is currently the No. 2 seed in Division 2. (Dennis Putian/Special to Prep2Prep)

ARAGON (46)

#1 vs. #8 Winner

Semifinals

Div. 2 Champ

Notre Dame-Belmont (44.5)

SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO (45.5)

#4 vs. #5 Winner

Prospect (45)

WATSONVILLE (45.5)

#3 vs. #6 Winner

Semifinals

Santa Clara (44.5)

LOS ALTOS (45.5)

#2 vs. #7 Winner

Saratoga (44.5)



DIVISION 3: The next 8 teams as ranked by CCS point total are placed in Division 3.


Leigh is currently the No. 5 seed in Division 3 (Elena Dubocanin/Prep2Prep)

PRESENTATION (44)

#1 vs. #8 Winner

Semifinals

Div. 3 Champ

Monte Vista Christian (41)

SEQUOIA (42.5)

#4 vs. #5 Winner

Sacred Heart Cathedral (42.5)

TERRA NOVA (43)

#3 vs. #6 Winner

Semifinals

Santa Cruz (42.5)

PIEDMONT HILLS (44)

#2 vs. #7 Winner

Homestead (42)



DIVISION 4: The final 8 teams as ranked by CCS point total are placed in Division 4.


Leigh is currently the No. 3 seed in Division 4. (Elena Dubocanin/Prep2Prep)

GUNN (40.5)

#1 vs. #8 Winner

Semifinals

Div. 4 Champ

Seaside (29.5)

SACRED HEART PREP (39.5)

#4 vs. #5 Winner

Gunderson (38.5)

ALISAL (40)

#3 vs. #6 Winner

Semifinals

Alvarez (38)

WOODSIDE PRIORY (40)

#2 vs. #7 Winner

Nueva School (30)



As mentioned earlier, there are a total of 10 at-large teams included in the complete field of 40 CCS playoff teams. Here's a brief look at the list of at-large teams, including the last five teams that made it based on our CCS point calculations and the first five that would be left out if the season ended now.





WCAL Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
6-0-4
10-5-8
6-2-2
17-3-4
4-3-3
9-5-5
4-3-3
9-7-4
0-8-2
5-10-4
SCVAL-DA Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
10-1-1
19-3-3
8-1-3
14-2-4
5-5-2
12-6-3
4-3-5
7-6-6
3-5-4
7-7-7
2-6-4
3-10-6
0-11-1
5-12-3
SCVAL-EC Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
11-1-0
11-6-1
10-2-0
11-7-2
6-5-1
8-10-2
6-6-0
11-9-0
4-6-2
5-11-3
3-8-1
7-11-1
0-12-0
4-14-0
BVAL-MH Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
11-1-2
16-4-3
9-1-4
12-6-4
8-5-1
13-6-3
7-3-4
10-5-5
6-7-1
9-10-1
5-7-2
5-10-4
2-11-1
6-12-1
0-13-1
2-15-2
BVAL-ST Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
12-1-1
15-3-3
10-1-3
14-4-3
8-6-0
10-9-0
7-6-1
9-7-3
6-8-0
7-13-0
4-8-2
5-10-5
0-14-0
1-17-1
BVAL-WV Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
13-1-0
14-6-0
10-2-2
10-2-2
10-2-1
11-3-3
5-5-3
6-8-3
4-8-2
4-10-3
3-7-3
3-7-3
1-11-2
1-15-2
1-11-1
2-15-2
PAL-Bay Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
5-2-3
7-9-4
5-3-2
10-6-3
4-2-4
12-3-6
3-4-3
9-9-4
3-4-3
7-6-7
2-7-1
7-11-1
PAL-Ocean Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
8-1-1
10-7-4
4-3-3
8-9-4
4-3-3
7-8-6
3-6-1
6-12-1
0-10-0
3-17-1
PCAL-Cypress Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
10-0-2
13-3-4
8-0-4
9-2-7
6-4-2
10-7-2
6-6-0
7-6-1
1-6-3
3-8-3
1-8-3
2-13-3
0-8-2
0-11-2
PCAL-Gabilan Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
9-1-0
12-5-2
8-1-1
10-7-2
5-4-1
10-6-1
2-6-2
5-12-2
0-9-1
0-13-2
PCAL-Mission Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
11-1-2
14-4-4
11-1-2
13-5-2
7-6-1
9-8-2
6-6-2
8-10-2
3-8-3
4-10-4
2-10-2
4-11-3
1-11-1
1-16-1
PCAL-Santa Lucia Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
14-1-0
15-5-0
13-2-0
13-4-1
10-3-1
10-4-1
8-5-1
8-5-1
6-8-0
6-10-0
4-10-0
4-11-0
2-12-1
2-13-1
0-14-1
0-14-1
PSAL Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
11-0-1
12-2-1
9-4-1
10-5-2
8-3-2
11-6-2
6-6-0
6-6-0
4-7-1
6-7-2
1-11-1
1-15-1
1-10-0
2-10-0
0-10-1
0-12-1
SCCAL Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
8-2-0
14-6-0
6-1-3
13-1-6
6-1-3
12-4-5
4-5-1
8-9-2
0-10-0
0-14-1