P2P CCS Playoff Projections
Mitty tied St. Francis for the WCAL title and will be in the Open Division playoffs. (Emily Liu/Prep2Prep)

Prep2Prep CCS Girls Soccer Playoff Projections

FINAL UPDATED 2/18/2017


We present the final Central Coast Section Girls Soccer Playoff Projections based on the latest information available to Prep2Prep through the end of the regular season. We have done our best to accurately portray the schedules and results of the 100+ teams that compete in the Central Coast Section. These projections are based on our best available information; if you would like to correct a team's result, please do so directly on that team's Prep2Prep page, contact Prep2Prep via our Contact Us page or tweet us @Prep2PrepSports. You can also leave comments on our Facebook page.

CCS implemented an Open Division for girls soccer in 2015-16. The 5 "A" league champions plus the next three highest point-total getters will comprise an eight-team elite playoff field. The other 32 teams in the playoff field will be split according to enrollment with the top 16 in Division I and the rest of the teams in Division II.

Pacific Collegiate defeated Greenfield and The King's Academy knocked off Woodside Priory to claim the final two automatic bids in the field in play-in games in their respective leagues.

Leland became playoff eligible with a 3-0 win over Willow Glen and should grab one of the final at-large spots. Branham lost 1-0 at Piedmont Hills and was eliminated from playoff consideration.

Valley Christian would have had enough points to qualify but will not meet the .500 requirement.

Last year on the boys' side, the PSAL was denied an automatic bid because it did not have the requisite six varsity teams. According to our records, there are only five girls teams in the PSAL, which would make it ineligible for an automatic bid.

For the formula used to calculate CCS points, please click here. Keep in mind that only a team's final 18 games count toward CCS point-total calculations. Also, a team must have at least a .500 record in league or overall to be considered. Higher-seeded teams host in the first round except in the case when the lower-seeded team is a division champion and the higher-seeded team is not.

In the first round, teams from the same league cannot face each other, so seedings are adjusted to avoid such matchups. Also first- and second-place teams from the same league cannot be placed in the same side of the bracket so we avoid those situations as well.

First, a few assumptions:

ASSUMPTION 1: points are calculated on the assumption that an individual team will lose the rest of its games. The bonus points for playing a league champion are included in the calculation. In other words, the point total you see represents the minimum point total for a given team as of today.

ASSUMPTION 2: in calculating points awarded for playing league champions, points were split according to the number of teams currently tied for first place. For instance, per CCS rules, teams are awarded bonus points for playing a league champion; if a team played a team that is currently in a three-way tie for first, we credit the team one-third of the points. If two teams at the top of a league have not played the same number of games, we assume league champ based on points per game.

ASSUMPTION 3: for out-of-section teams that we were unable to find accurate records, we assumed them to be "B" teams and not division champs.

ASSUMPTION 4: in cases where teams have not played the same amount of games, we compare teams in the same league on a points per game basis.

ASSUMPTION 5: teams will apply for CCS and we will use league bylaws to determine order of finish as applicable. For instance if two at-large teams apply for CCS from the same league, some league's bylaws mandate that the team that finished higher in the league standings must get in first whereas other leagues rank at-large teams based on CCS points. We are assuming no teams will pull out of consideration.

ASSUMPTION 6: the MTAL hold a playoff to determine the final automatic bid. In the MTAL, it's the third-place team in the Mission Trail against the champion of the Coastal Division. Because the team from the higher league has nearly always won this game in the past, we assume that team gets the automatic bid.

NOTE: CCS points are in parentheses and the projected home team is listed in CAPS.

OPEN DIVISION: The "A" league champions are: Leigh (BVAL-Mount Hamilton), Menlo-Atherton (PAL-Bay), Aptos (SCCAL), Mountain View (SCVAL-De Anza) and Mitty (WCAL). Even though Mitty and St. Francis wound up tied on points, Mitty gets the full tiebreaker as per WCAL bylaws. That includes the 9-point bonus for winning the league outright.

The three at-large spots belong to Mountain View (64.5 CCS points), St. Francis (63) and Salinas (60.5). Salinas has a whopping 18.5 bonus points, edging out Mitty, which has 16. That means by our projection, Mitty - despite winning the best league in CCS - will have to travel to Salinas for a first-round match. Not only that, because St. Francis is not considered a league champ, the Lancers will have to travel to Leigh for the first round according to our projections.


Leigh has clinched a spot in the Open Division playoffs by winning the BVAL-Mount Hamilton Division. (Carter Fox/Prep2Prep)

(1) MOUNTAIN VIEW (64.5)

#1 vs. #8 Winner

Semifinals

Open Div. Champ

(8) Aptos (57)

(4) SALINAS (60.5)

#4 vs. #5 Winner

(5) Archbishop Mitty (60.5)

(3) Palo Alto (62)

#3 vs. #6 Winner

Semifinals

(6) MENLO-ATHERTON (60.5)

(2) St. Francis (63)

#2 vs. #7 Winner

(7) LEIGH (58)




DIVISION I: After the eight top teams are placed in the Open, the 16 teams with the highest enrollment are placed in Division I with the remaining 16 teams placed in Division II.

Lowest enrollment schools: Overfelt (1,623) and Aragon (1,593).


Los Altos noved up to the No. 5 seed in Division I after defeating Gunn. (Carter Fox/Prep2Prep)

(1) Los Gatos (51.5)          
           
(16) OVERFELT (33.5)          
           
(8) SEQUOIA (44)          
           
(9) Leland (41.5)          
           
(5) LOS ALTOS (47.5)          
           
(12) Watsonville (40.5)          
           
(4) PIONEER (48)          
           
(13) Willow Glen (38.5)          
           
(6) WOODSIDE (46)          
           
(11) Homestead (41.5)          
           
(3) ARAGON (48.5)          
           
(14) Christopher (37)          
           
(7) PIEDMONT HILLS (45.5)          
           
(10) Gunn (41.5)          
           
(2) SANTA CLARA (48.5)          
           
(15) San Benito (35)          



DIVISION II: Finally, the remaining 16 teams as ranked by enrollment are placed in Division II.

We moved Sacred Heart Prep down two spots to keep the Gators on the opposite side of the bracket from Menlo. Even though SHP is in first place in the WBAL-Foothill, we have Menlo with a higher point total.

We moved Carmel down a spot to avoid being on the same side of the bracket as Soledad.

Highest enrollment schools: Presentation (1,520) and Sobrato (1,484).


Menlo is projected as the No. 3 seed in Division II. (Courtesy Menlo Athletics)

(1) ST. IGNATIUS (52)          
           
(16) The King's Academy (23)          
           
(8) SACRED HEART PREP (45)          
           
(9) Sobrato (42)          
           
(5) SANTA CRUZ (48.5)          
           
(12) Carmel (39.5)          
           
(4) PRESENTATION (48.5)          
           
(13) Soquel (38)          
           
(6) NOTRE DAME-BELMONT (46.5)          
           
(11) Scotts Valley (39)          
           
(3) Menlo School (48.5)          
           
(14) WOODSIDE PRIORY (37.5)          
           
(7) LIVE OAK (43.5)          
           
(10) Sacred Heart Cathedral (41)          
           
(2) SOLEDAD (49)          
           
(15) Pacific Collegiate (29.5)          



As mentioned earlier, there are a total of 11 at-large teams included in the complete field of 40 CCS playoff teams. Here's a brief look at the list of at-large teams, including the last five teams that made it based on our CCS point calculations and the first five that would be left out if the season ended now.





WCAL Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
7-1-2
16-2-3
7-1-2
14-3-2
5-4-1
13-6-3
3-4-3
12-5-6
SCVAL-DA Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
9-1-2
17-1-3
8-0-4
14-1-4
6-2-4
12-3-6
5-4-3
13-6-3
5-6-1
10-7-4
1-10-1
5-10-3
0-11-1
5-13-3
SCVAL-EC Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
11-1-0
13-6-2
10-1-1
12-7-2
6-4-2
9-6-3
5-7-0
6-13-0
4-8-0
7-10-1
2-8-2
7-11-2
1-10-1
4-13-1
BVAL-MH Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
10-1-3
12-4-3
9-4-1
13-7-1
6-2-6
10-6-7
5-5-4
8-8-5
5-6-3
7-9-4
3-7-4
7-8-6
2-7-5
4-10-5
1-9-4
2-12-6
BVAL-ST Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
11-0-2
15-3-3
10-1-3
16-1-3
6-5-2
9-8-2
5-4-5
9-5-6
5-7-2
8-10-3
3-8-3
7-8-5
2-8-4
5-10-4
1-10-3
3-13-3
BVAL-WV Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
11-1-2
12-8-2
7-3-4
7-9-4
6-7-1
7-9-1
5-5-4
5-9-6
5-7-2
5-12-2
4-6-4
5-8-4
3-7-4
3-12-4
3-8-3
4-11-3
MBL-Gabilan Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
11-0-1
14-3-4
7-2-2
11-5-4
7-3-2
9-7-2
5-6-1
6-9-2
2-7-1
5-10-3
1-9-1
4-11-1
MBL-Pacific Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
9-1-1
11-5-4
8-2-2
12-4-3
7-4-1
13-5-1
2-6-3
2-9-4
1-9-2
2-11-3
0-7-4
1-10-4
PAL-Bay Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
14-0-0
16-3-1
10-3-1
12-7-2
8-4-2
13-6-3
5-7-3
6-11-3
5-8-2
5-12-6
5-8-1
9-10-1
3-11-0
6-15-0
2-11-1
4-15-2
PAL-Ocean Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
11-1-0
15-3-5
8-1-2
13-3-4
5-5-2
6-12-2
4-3-4
9-3-4
3-8-2
3-12-3
3-7-1
4-9-1
2-6-3
4-8-5
0-10-1
0-11-1
SCCAL Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
12-0-0
15-3-1
8-2-2
12-6-4
8-4-1
11-9-2
6-6-0
9-12-0
1-10-0
1-15-0
0-12-0
0-15-1