P2P CCS Playoff Projections
Defending Open Division champion St. Ignatius is making a bid for a return trip to the elite tournament. (St. Ignatius Athletics)

Prep2Prep CCS Boys Soccer Playoff Projections

FINAL UPDATE 2/17/2018


We present the latest Central Coast Section Boys Soccer Playoff Projections based on the latest information available to Prep2Prep through the matches for which we have received results on February 16. We have done our best to accurately portray the schedules and results of the 100+ teams that compete in the Central Coast Section. These projections are based on our best available information; if you would like to correct a team's result, please do so directly on that team's Prep2Prep page, contact Prep2Prep via our Contact Us page or tweet us @Prep2PrepSports. You can also leave comments on our Facebook page.

CCS has implemented an Open Division for boys soccer. The 5 "A" league champions plus the next three highest point-total getters will comprise an eight-team elite playoff field. The only "B" teams eligible are those in leagues that don't have "A" divisions, but they are required to opt up prior to the seeding meeting. The other 32 teams in the playoff field will be split according to enrollment with the top 16 in Division 1 and the rest of the teams in Division 2.

For the formula used to calculate CCS points, please click here. Keep in mind that only a team's final 18 games count toward CCS point-total calculations. Also, a team must have at least a .500 record in league or overall to be considered. Higher-seeded teams host in the first round except in the case when the lower-seeded team is a division champion and the higher-seeded team is not.

Here is a look at all playoff contenders league by league:

BVAL

Automatic: BVAL-MH - Overfelt, Prospect, Lincoln. BVAL-ST - Leland, Mt. Pleasant. BVAL-WV - San Jose.

At-large: Andrew Hill (43 CCS points) and Pioneer (39.5). Pioneer gets in as a result of Lynbrook's loss to rival Cupertino in its season finale.

MBL

Automatic: Alisal, Watsonville and San Benito are the automatic qualifiers from the Gabilan Division. Salinas and North Salinas tied in the season finale, leaving them in a deadlock for the Pacific Division title. Salinas wins the tiebreaker.

At-large: North Monterey County, Alvarez and North Salinas are all locks for the tournament. Gilroy (38) will be one of the first teams out unless there is some sort of point total discrepancy.

MTAL

Automatic: Soledad and Gonzales have clinched MTAL auto bids. MTAL-Coastal champ Pacific Collegiate defeated King City on penalties to claim the third automatic bid from the MTAL.

At-large: There are no contenders for at-large spots in this division.

PAL

Automatic: Burlingame, Menlo-Atherton and Sequoia have clinched the the three PAL-Bay automatic bids. Half Moon Bay has clinched the PAL-Ocean league championship and automatic bid.

At-large: Aragon (41.5) gets an at-large bid despite a loss in its season finale. In the Ocean Division Westmoor (38.5) is in regardless of the result against Jefferson that we have not yet received.

PSAL

Automatic: Latino College Prep has clinched the league title and automatic bid.

At-large: There are no contenders for at-large spots in this division.

SCCAL

Automatic: Soquel and Santa Cruz have clinched the two automatic bids.

At-large: There are no contenders for at-large spots in this division.

SCVAL

Automatic: Los Gatos, Los Altos and Palo Alto have clinched the three automatic spots from the De Anza Division. Saratoga won the El Camino Division outright after Lynbrook was defeated by Cupertino (Saratoga owned the tiebreaker anyway).

At-large: Gunn (42) gets an at-large bid. Lynbrook (37) was knocked out with its loss Friday.

WBAL

Automatic: Harker and Menlo are the automatic qualifiers from this league.

At-large: There are no contenders for at-large spots in this division.

WCAL

Automatic: St. Ignatius and Mitty have clinched the two automatic bids from the WCAL.

At-large: St. Francis (48), Bellarmine (44), Serra (43.5) and Sacred Heart Cathedral (40) will receive at-large bids.

In the first round, teams from the same league cannot face each other, so seedings are adjusted to avoid such matchups. Also first- and second-place teams from the same league cannot be placed in the same side of the bracket so we avoid those situations as well.

First, a few assumptions:

ASSUMPTION 1: points are calculated on the assumption that an individual team will lose the rest of its games. The bonus points for playing a league champion are included in the calculation. In other words, the point total you see represents the minimum point total for a given team as of today. We determine league champions based on points per game, which is especially relevant in cases where the teams have not played the same number of games.

ASSUMPTION 2: in calculating points awarded for playing league champions, points were split according to the number of teams currently tied for first place. For instance, per CCS rules, teams are awarded bonus points for playing a league champion; if a team played a team that is currently in a three-way tie for first, we credit the team one-third of the points. If two teams at the top of a league have not played the same number of games, we assume league champ based on points per game.

ASSUMPTION 3: for out-of-section teams that we were unable to find accurate records, we assumed them to be "B" teams and not division champs.

ASSUMPTION 4: teams will apply for CCS and we will use league bylaws to determine order of finish as applicable. For instance if two at-large teams apply for CCS from the same league, some league's bylaws mandate that the team that finished higher in the league standings must get in first whereas other leagues rank at-large teams based on CCS points. We are assuming no teams will pull out of consideration.

ASSUMPTION 5: the MTAL hold a playoff to determine the final automatic bid. In the MTAL, it's the third-place team in the Mission Trail against the champion of the Coastal Division. Because the team from the higher league has nearly always won this game in the past, we assume that team gets the automatic bid.

NOTE: CCS points are in parentheses and the projected home team is listed in CAPS.

OPEN DIVISION: Overfelt (BVAL-Mount Hamilton), Alisal (MBL-Gabilan), Burlingame (PAL-Bay), Los Gatos (SCVAL-De Anza) and St. Ignatius (WCAL) are this year's "A" league champions and will be in the Open. We expect the at-large Open teams to be Archbishop Mitty (59.5 CCS points), Los Altos (50.5) and Watsonville (49.5).

We have received confirmation that Harker (51.5) will not opt up and have assumed the same for Soquel (53). If Soquel decides to, that would drop Watsonville down to Division 1 and Aragon to Division 2.


Alisal has clinched the MBL-Gabilan and a third straight trip to the Open Division. (@AlisalFutbol/Twitter)

(1) LOS GATOS (66)

#1 vs. #8 Winner

Semifinals

Open Div. Champ

(8) Watsonville (49.5)

(4) OVERFELT (57.5)

#4 vs. #5 Winner

(5) St. Ignatius (55)

(3) ARCHBISHOP MITTY (59.5)

#3 vs. #6 Winner

Semifinals

(6) Los Altos (52.5)

(2) ALISAL (60)

#2 vs. #7 Winner

(7) Burlingame (50)




DIVISION 1: After the eight top teams are placed in the Open, the 16 teams with the highest enrollment are placed in Division 1 with the remaining 16 teams placed in Division 2.

We had to move Pioneer up a spot to avoid a first-round matchup against league mate Lincoln.

Lowest enrollment schools: Serra (1,666) and Aragon (1,660).


Branham and senior Dante Reinoso (15) are projected as the No. 14 seed in Division 1. (Special to Prep2Prep)

(1) LINCOLN (49)          
           
(16) Aragon (41.5)          
           
(8) NORTH SALINAS (45.5)          
           
(9) Alvarez (44)          
           
(5) PALO ALTO (47)          
           
(12) Andrew Hill (43)          
           
(4) ST. FRANCIS (48)          
           
(13) Gunn (42)          
           
(6) MENLO-ATHERTON (47)          
           
(11) Serra (43.5)          
           
(3) SAN BENITO (48)          
           
(14) Sequoia (41.5)          
           
(7) LELAND (46)          
           
(10) Bellarmine College Prep (44)          
           
(2) SALINAS (48)          
           
(15) Pioneer (39.5)          



DIVISION 2: Finally, the remaining 16 teams as ranked by enrollment are placed in Division 2.

For the purpose of this projection, we assume Westmoor defeated Jefferson to reach 40.5 points.

Highest enrollment schools: Pioneer (1,619) and Prospect (1,473).


Marc Velten-Lomelin and Menlo are projected as the No. 9 seed in Division 2. (Menlo School Athletics)

(1) SOQUEL (53)          
           
(16) Pacific Collegiate (30)          
           
(8) SARATOGA (43.5)          
           
(9) Mt. Pleasant (43)          
           
(5) PROSPECT (47)          
           
(12) Menlo School (40)          
           
(4) SOLEDAD (48)          
           
(13) Sacred Heart Cathedral (40)          
           
(6) NORTH MONTEREY COUNTY (46)          
           
(11) Westmoor (40.5)          
           
(3) HALF MOON BAY (51)          
           
(14) Latino College Prep (38)          
           
(7) GONZALES (45.5)          
           
(10) San Jose (41.5)          
           
(2) HARKER SCHOOL (51.5)          
           
(15) Santa Cruz (35.5)          



As mentioned earlier, there are a total of 12 at-large teams included in the complete field of 40 CCS playoff teams. Here's a brief look at the list of at-large teams, including the last five teams that made it based on our CCS point calculations and the first five that would be left out if the season ended now.





WCAL Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
10-1-3
19-1-5
9-0-5
14-1-6
7-3-4
14-5-6
7-6-1
13-7-2
6-5-3
15-6-5
3-11-0
3-14-2
0-14-0
0-19-0
SCVAL-DA Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
11-0-1
17-2-2
9-2-1
12-5-3
7-3-2
14-5-3
5-7-0
8-12-0
4-7-1
7-11-1
1-9-2
3-14-4
1-10-1
2-13-3
SCVAL-EC Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
9-2-1
11-8-2
9-3-0
12-7-1
8-3-1
11-5-2
6-5-1
12-6-2
5-6-0
7-7-4
1-9-1
3-14-2
0-10-0
0-18-0
BVAL-MH Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
10-3-1
14-4-2
9-3-2
12-6-3
8-3-3
12-6-4
7-5-2
9-8-3
5-7-2
9-9-2
5-7-2
8-9-2
2-10-2
2-12-2
2-10-2
2-14-3
BVAL-ST Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
10-2-2
14-4-3
10-3-1
19-4-1
9-4-1
10-7-2
7-5-2
12-6-2
6-5-3
10-5-5
3-8-3
6-10-4
3-9-2
7-11-2
1-13-0
1-18-0
BVAL-WV Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
12-0-1
15-3-2
8-3-1
11-4-2
7-6-1
9-10-1
3-3-7
4-4-8
5-7-0
8-9-0
3-6-4
4-10-4
1-7-2
2-12-2
0-7-2
3-11-5
MBL-Gabilan Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
9-1-2
18-2-4
6-2-4
12-5-4
6-2-4
11-4-8
3-5-4
9-6-6
2-6-4
3-8-6
0-11-1
0-17-2
MBL-Pacific Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
10-2-1
13-6-2
10-3-1
12-8-2
7-4-1
10-7-4
6-4-2
11-4-3
3-8-2
5-11-5
3-8-1
6-12-2
1-11-0
4-13-1
PAL-Bay Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
10-0-3
15-4-4
8-2-3
9-8-5
8-4-2
10-8-3
4-4-6
6-7-8
3-6-5
5-10-5
2-6-6
4-7-7
1-10-3
5-11-4
PAL-Ocean Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
13-1-0
15-4-1
10-3-2
14-5-2
10-3-1
11-5-1
5-7-2
5-12-3
4-6-3
6-10-4
3-9-1
4-11-3
3-9-1
3-11-1
2-12-0
4-14-0
SCCAL Standings

TEAM
DIV
OVERALL
11-0-1
17-2-2
9-3-0
13-7-1
6-4-2
7-9-3
6-5-1
9-8-2
5-5-2
7-8-2
2-10-0
4-11-1
0-12-0
3-16-1