There were a few surprising results from CCS action last week that have impacted the newest playoff projections. Among them were St. Ignatius' win over Saint Francis to secure the
fourth automatic bid from the WCAL - at least for now - and Gunn knocking off Saratoga to take a path to the SCVAL-El Camino title.
Beginning next week, we will add in bonus points for out of section league champions. This will obviously impact teams who played such teams in the preseason in a positive way.
Once again this week, we start with a review of how the new bylaws for the CCS football playoffs work. The new playoff format is highly dependent on rankings supplied
by CalPreps. We won't go into great detail here, but the bylaws are available here (PDF)
Instead what we will do is give a brief rundown of the new system. As has been the case the past several years, there will be 40 CCS playoff teams. It is how those teams are selected
that has gone through a massive change.
Of the 40, 33 teams will receive automatic bids based on their finish in their respective league standings. The five "A" leagues will produce four automatic bids each, with the
remaining 13 berths coming from the various "B" and "C" leagues throughout the section. In general, "B" leagues will get two bids and "C" leagues one bid.
For the most part, the CCS point calculation is the same as it has been for the past few years with one addition: teams get additional credit for playing teams in the CalPreps Top 150
California ranking: 2 points for a team ranked in the top 100 and 1 point for a team ranked 101-150. Furthermore, teams outside of CCS are classified as "A", "B" and "C" teams based on
their CalPreps ranking.
The 10 best at-large point totals are put into a pool and then their CalPreps rankings are taken into account to choose the top 7. Once the entire field of 40 is selected,
a weighted score of the teams' CalPreps ranking and their CCS point total is produced and then the top 8 teams go to Division 1, the next 8 to Division 2 and so on down to
We predict the results of all games that have not been played yet and combine them with the results of games that
have taken place. While we are not yet projecting league champions in out-of-section areas, we are applying their CalPreps ranking as of this point of the season.
Here are the projected CCS league champs:
BVAL-Mount Hamilton: Oak Grove
BVAL-Santa Teresa: Branham
BVAL-West Valley: Mt. Pleasant
PAL-Ocean: Half Moon Bay
PCAL-Mission: Monte Vista Christian
PCAL-Cypress: North Monterey County
PCAL-Santa Lucia: Pacific Grove
SCVAL-De Anza: Wilcox
SCVAL-El Camino: Gunn
Note: Lincoln would have earned a spot in the field, but the Lions do not participate in CCS playoffs because of their commitment to the annual Big Bone Game against
San Jose on Thanksgiving Day.
NOTE: Adjusted CCS points are in parentheses and the projected home team is listed in CAPS.
Serra remains far and away the No. 1 overall seed. With the new CCS points formula, the Padres are a good eight points ahead of their nearest rival Valley Christian. Saint
Francis was in line for a No. 3 seed, but the loss to St. Ignatius has moved the Lancers all the way down to fifth, mainly because of the subsequent drop in their
CalPreps ranking. Wilcox is now in prime position for the No. 3 seed and could even move to No. 2 if Valley Christian loses a game we have them projected as winning, which
would be all of them except for Serra.
The SI win also boosted the Wildcats into Division 1, bumping Los Gatos down to Division 2. The top five teams in the WCAL will likely wind up in Division 1 setting up a gauntlet
for the three public school teams Wilcox, Menlo-Atherton and Half Moon Bay and guaranteeing at least one WCAL rematch in the first round.
Los Gatos' chances of a CCS title may have improved dramatically with St. Ignatius' win over Saint Francis as we now have the Wildcats projected as the No. 1 seed in
Division 2, where they would have to be considered among the top 2-3 favorites.
Division 2 is still projected to consist solely of "A" league teams with Sacred Heart Prep, Salinas and Palo Alto in good shape for a top 4 seed. Bellarmine's overtime
victory over Archbishop Riordan may have saved the Bells from a second straight season of missing the postseason.
Mills, the projected PAL-Lake champion, heads an eclectic group of teams in Division 5. The Vikings appear to be locked in to a first-round game against the
champion of the BVAL-West Valley Division, which right now is Mt. Pleasant. The BVAL-WV champ is expected to come in with the overall field's lowest point total.
Gunn's win over Saratoga now has the Titans in the field and could set up a rematch between the two SCVAL-El Camino rivals. Saratoga has dropped down to Division 5,
which would improve the Falcons' chances of a CCS title, especially if they can hold on to the No. 2 seed.
Here's a brief look at the at-large teams that made it based on our CCS point calculations and the first five that would be left out based on our
projection process. This only includes teams that meet the top six in league requirement (actual CCS points in parentheses - not combined with CalPreps rankings points). Note:
the point totals are not in necessarily in order because the at-large teams are selected by a combination of CCS points and weighted ranks based on CalPreps.