Prep2Prep CCS Girls Soccer Playoff Projections
UPDATED THROUGH 2/15/13
Here are the updated CCS Girls Soccer Playoff Projections based on the latest information available to us through the games of February 14.
are at the mercy of the accuracy of our schedules. We have done our best to accurately portray the schedules and results of the 100+ teams
that compete in the Central Coast Section, but there are bound to be some inaccuracies somewhere. We are still missing a few results that
could have an impact on the final seedings; if we get those results in, we will make last-minute adjustments Saturday prior to the
announcement of the official seedings.
These projections are based on our
best available information; if you would like to correct a team's results, please contact Prep2Prep
or tweet us @Prep2PrepSports
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For the formula used to calculate CCS points, please click
. Keep in mind that only a team's final 18 games count
toward CCS point-total calculations. Also, a team must have at least a .500 record in league or overall to be considered. First, a few assumptions:
ASSUMPTION 1: points are calculated on the assumption that an individual team will lose the rest of its games. The bonus points for playing
a league champion are included in the calculation. In other words, the point total you see represents the minimum point total for a given team.
ASSUMPTION 2: in calculating points awarded for playing league champions, points were split according to the number of teams currently
tied for first place. For instance, per CCS rules, teams are awarded one point for playing a league champion; if a team played a team
that is currently in a three-way tie for first, we credit the team 0.33 points. If two teams at the top of a league have not played the
same number of games, we assume league champ based on points per game.
ASSUMPTION 3: in the first round, the first- and second-place team from the same league cannot face each other, so seedings are adjusted to
avoid such matchups.
ASSUMPTION 4: for out-of-section teams that we were unable to find accurate records, we assumed them to be "B" teams and not division champs.
ASSUMPTION 5: teams will apply for CCS and we will use league bylaws to determine order of finish as applicable. For instance if two at-large
teams apply for CCS from the same league, some league's bylaws mandate that the team that finished higher in the league standings must get in
first whereas other leagues rank at-large teams based on CCS points. We are assuming no teams will pull out of consideration.
NOTE: CCS points are in parentheses and the projected home team is listed in CAPS.
DIVISION I: Thirty-nine teams qualify for the CCS playoffs, with the top 13 schools by enrollment placed in Division I. Word
from the CCS office is that St. Francis did not opt up to Division I for the 2013 playoffs, so the Lancers will be a high seed in Division II.
We had to move Santa Clara to avoid a first-round matchup with league mate Palo Alto. Los Gatos and Mountain View cannot be on the same side
of the bracket as the top two finishers in the SCVAL-DA, so Santa Teresa needs to swap with Los Gatos. That would be caused if Woodside
indeed drops to Division II as we have projected.
DIVISION II: After the 13 teams with the highest enrollment are placed in Division I, the next 13 teams by enrollment are
placed in Division II, which is expected to be an extremely strong bracket in 2013.
If Woodside drops to Division II as we are currently projecting, that will have huge ramifications on the bracket as the Wildcats would
earn a top 3 high seed and bump teams like Gilroy and Los Altos from a potential first-round bye.
DIVISION III: Finally, the remaining 13 teams as ranked by enrollment are placed in Division III. Based on our projections,
there doesn't figure to be much dropoff, if any, from Division I to Division II, but the same cannot be said for the difference between Division II
and Division III.
Santa Cruz and Scotts Valley cannot be on the same side of the bracket so we swapped Santa Catalina with Scotts Valley.
As mentioned earlier, there are a total of 12 at-large teams included in the complete field of 39 CCS playoff teams. Here's a brief look at
the last five teams that made it based on our CCS point calculations and the first five that would be left out if the season ended now.